Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Montevarchi		Camaiore

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.2
	2.14	3.14	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
42.7%

Draw
29.2%

Camaiore
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Camaiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camaiore than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Montevarchi - Camaiore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Galeota A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Montevarchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Montevarchi	6	2	1	3	9:11	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.02.26	Orvietana - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Montevarchi - Cannara	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Trestina - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Montevarchi - Grosseto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTL
- Camaiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.02.26	Camaiore - Trestina	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Camaiore	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Camaiore - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Camaiore	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Camaiore - Foligno	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.10.25	Camaiore - Montevarchi	2:3

Montevarchi - Camaiore: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide