Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Montijo		Jaraíz

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.75	2.95	2.23
	2.82	3.00	2.47
	2.85	3.12	2.41	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.40
	2.84	3.52	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.98)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montijo
32.6%

Draw
29.2%

Jaraíz
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.3%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Montijo - Jaraíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Jaraíz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Montijo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montijo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montijo	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6
13	Jaraiz	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Jaraíz - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.09.26	Villanovense - Montijo	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Azuaga - Montijo	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Azuaga - Montijo	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Montijo - Gévora	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Calamonte - Montijo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.09.26	Jaraíz - Pueblonuevo	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Pueblonuevo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.04.26	Jaraíz - Montijo	1:0
23.11.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	1:0
11.05.25	Jaraíz - Montijo	1:0
12.01.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	2:1

Montijo - Jaraíz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide