Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Calamonte		Montijo

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.2	2.58
	2.42	3.43	2.58
	2.50	2.90	2.98	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.63
	2.27	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.27)	3.21 ↑ (3.16)	2.68 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
37.8%

Draw
28.3%

Montijo
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.8%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Calamonte - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
77', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Calamonte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Montijo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Calamonte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montijo	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Moralo - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Calamonte - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Villafranca - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Calamonte - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Santa Amalia - Calamonte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTLTL
- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Montijo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Jaraíz - Montijo	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Montijo - Montehermoso	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Villanovense - Montijo	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Montijo - Cabeza del Buey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.25	Montijo - Calamonte	0:2
30.03.25	Calamonte - Montijo	2:1
17.11.24	Montijo - Calamonte	1:3
14.02.21	Montijo - Calamonte	1:0

Calamonte - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide