Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 7

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Montijo		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.5	3.06	2.14
	3.3	3.08	2.11
	3.05	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.55)	3.09 ↑ (2.75)	2.2 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
28.9%

Draw
29.6%

San Sebastian Reyes
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

34.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Sebastian Reyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montijo - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Montijo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SS Reyes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	Mensajero - Montijo	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Montijo - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Villanovense - Montijo	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Montijo - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Numancia - Montijo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLLW
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
20.09.23	CD Guadalajara - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Ursaria - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWT

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