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Current Win Probability
Montreal Roses 48.2%
Draw 24.2%
Ottawa Rapid 27.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.8%
25.9%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
25.9%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Roses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montreal Roses's performance.
Ottawa Rapid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ottawa Rapid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Roses than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montreal Roses that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Rapid than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ottawa Rapid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montreal Roses - Ottawa Rapid Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Lambert G. (G) 77. Heilferty A. 6. Seto A. 2. Cappadona L. 20. Sauve M. (C) 18. Bilbault C. 7. Paquin N. 11. Alidou d'Anjou M. 13. Badu E. 10. Pechersky E. 9. Bennett E.
30. Dagenais M. (G) 15. Golen N. 18. Scott O. (C) 33. Harris J. 21. Forbes M. 12. Melenhorst K. 20. Jung Min-Young 7. Fridlund J. 11. Waite S. 10. Belzile F. 22. Pridham D.
Substitutes
12. Boychuk T. 4. Hill S. 22. Laroche A. (G) 5. Leas J. 15. Minas C. 28. Pierre-Louis A. 23. Roy F. 19. Thibault L. 3. Whitaker H.
8. Adamek K. 26. Bell E. 19. Choo Hyo-Joo 4. Chown H. 6. Crichton C. 1. Eriksson M. (G) 2. Haaland S. 13. Okobi-Okeoghene N. 9. Wilkinson J.
Coaches
Bard-Martel M.
Pedersen K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Golen N. ↓, Choo Hyo-Joo ↑,
60', Heilferty A. ↓, Whitaker H. ↑,
67', Fridlund J. ↓, Okobi-Okeoghene N. ↑,
78', Paquin N. ↓, Boychuk T. ↑,
78', Badu E. ↓, Thibault L. ↑,
79', Jung Min-Young ↓, Wilkinson J. ↑,
79', Forbes M. ↓, Chown H. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Boychuk T. ⚽, Alidou d'Anjou M. (A),
86', Bennett E. ↓, Hill S. ↑,
86', Pechersky E. ↓, Leas J. ↑,
90+4', Thibault L. 🟨,
Preview
Montreal is Qualified for NSL Women (Play Offs Semi~finals).
Ottawa is Qualified for NSL Women (Play Offs Semi~finals).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Montreal holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Montreal has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montreal against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).
Canada
Watch
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Lambert G. (G) 
Heilferty A. 
Bilbault C. 
Badu E. 
Jung Min-Young 
Fridlund J. 
Boychuk T. 
Pierre-Louis A. 
Adamek K. 
Okobi-Okeoghene N. 
Pedersen K. 
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