Match Info

Serie A - Round 2

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Argentina	Disney+
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Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
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Russia	Match TV
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Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monza		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.6
	2.95	3.00	2.55
	2.95	3	2.55	Watch
	3.1	3.14	2.63
	2.95	3.09	2.6	Watch
	3	3.1	2.55
	3.06	3.06	2.65
	3	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.4)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	2.6 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
32.1%

Draw
31%

Udinese
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

30.3%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Udinese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Udinese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	35.7%	50%

Monza - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Udinese will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Udinese (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Monza (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 50%). Udinese (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 60. Kouadio E. 3. Lucchesi L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. (C) 8. Ondoa F. 80. Mout M. 7. Mangas R. 28. Colpani A. 10. Cutrone P. 9. Varela G.	40. Okoye M. (G) 14. Abankwah J. 28. Solet O. 77. Ebosse E. 23. Vojvoda M. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 11. Kamara H. 46. Gomez U. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 6. Antov V. 24. Bakoune A. 50. Ballabio A. (G) 21. Colombo L. 15. Delli Carri F. 90. Folorunsho M. 11. Forson O. 5. Maye Y. 47. Mota D. 46. Robinson J. 43. Strajnar A. (G)	20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 79. Pejicic D. 99. Piana E. (G) 45. Vinciati G. 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Juric I.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
32', 0 - 1, Piotrowski J. ⚽, Kamara H. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Colpani A. ⚽, Mangas R. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Kamara H. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
54', Ondoa F. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
54', Mout M. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
60', Piotrowski J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
60', Gomez U. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
61', Lucchesi L. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Varela G. ⚽, Akinsanmiro E. (A),
68', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
68', Ebosse E. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
84', Birindelli S. ↓, Forson O. ↑,
84', Colpani A. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
85', Vojvoda M. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Udinese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Udinese has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Kabasele C. (Red Card) Palma M. (Muscle Injury) Zaniolo N. (Thigh Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Akinsanmiro E. (Muscle Injury) Ciurria P. (Inactive) Colombo L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Gueye I. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Udinese: 0.22% Monza: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Monza - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.26	Monza - Aris	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Galatasaray - Monza	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Monza - Pro Vercelli	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWW
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
22.08.26	Udinese - Como	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Udinese - Padova	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Trabzonspor - Udinese	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Udinese - Mainz	3:3 ✺
28.07.26	Udinese - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.05.25	Udinese - Monza	1:2
09.12.24	Monza - Udinese	1:2
03.02.24	Udinese - Monza	0:0
29.10.23	Monza - Udinese	1:1
08.04.23	Udinese - Monza	2:2
Coppa Italia
19.10.22	Udinese - Monza	2:3
Italian Serie A
26.08.22	Monza - Udinese	1:2

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