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Parma - Udinese

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 9
  • Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
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    Parma Udinese
    Parma Udinese
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.7 ↓
    (2.98)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.24)    		 2.77 ↑
    (2.45)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Parma
    35.3%    		Draw
    30.2%    		Udinese
    34.5%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    31.9% 29.3% 38.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    32.4% 29.8% 37.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    28.6% 57.1% 14.3%

    Parma - Udinese Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Udinese will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% โ€“ 75.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 25%). Udinese (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Udinese (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 20%). Udinese (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. ItalyDaffara G. (G)
    15. ItalyDelprato E. (C)
    37. ArgentinaTroilo M.
    72. SloveniaDrobnic D.
    27. SwitzerlandBritschgi S.
      4. SwitzerlandSierro V.
    16. BelgiumKeita M.
    29. ArgentinaCarboni F.
    10. SpainBernabe A.
    19. MaliToure E. B.
      9. ArgentinaRomero D.
    		40. NigeriaOkoye M. (G)
    14. IrelandAbankwah J.
    27. BelgiumKabasele C.
    16. GermanyPalma M.
    13. ItalyBertola N.
      8. SwedenKarlstrom J. (C)
    30. GeorgiaChakvetadze G.
    11. IvoryKamara H.
    10. ItalyZaniolo N.
    32. NetherlandsEkkelenkamp J.
      9. EnglandDavis K.
    Substitutes
    11. SwedenAlmqvist P.
    40. ItalyCorvi E. (G)
      8. USACremaschi B.
    25. ArgentinaDe Martis T.
      7. SpainDiallo O.
    34. BrazilDiego Carlos
    80. ItalyFabbian G.
    20. CroatiaFrigan M.
    22. ItalyGhidotti S. (G)
    47. SenegalKonate A.
    76. ItalyLontani S.
      3. SenegalNdiaye A.
    41. ItalyNicolussi Caviglia H.
    32. ArgentinaOrdonez C.
    14. ItalyValeri E.
    		20. ColombiaArizala J.
    77. CameroonEbosse E.
    46. SpainGomez U.
    91. SerbiaJovanovic L.
      4. SloveniaLovric S.
    38. ScotlandMiller L.
    41. PolandMrozek B. (G)
    93. ItalyPadelli D. (G)
    24. PolandPiotrowski J.
    45. ItalyVinciati G.
    23. KosovoVojvoda M.
      6. SpainZarraga O.
    Coaches
         ItalyGilardino A.
    		     GermanyRunjaic K.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 29', Gilardino A. 🟨,
    • 45+1', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 60', Romero D. ↓, Frigan M. ↑,
    • 60', Carboni F. ↓, Valeri E. ↑,
    • 63', Bertola N. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
    • 69', Bernabe A. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 71', Kamara H. ↓, Ebosse E. ↑,
    • 71', Karlstrom J. ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
    • 74', Bernabe A. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
    • 74', Toure E. B. ↓, Lontani S. ↑,
    • 81', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
    • 81', Lontani S. 🟨,
    • 83', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
    • 84', Zaniolo N. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
    • 86', Britschgi S. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,

    Preview

  • A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Serie B and 17th).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.
  • Recent results have been tough for Parma (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Udinese has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
  • Parma could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
  • In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
  • Confirmed absences for Parma: Elphege N. (Illness) Valenti L. (Coach's decision).
  • Confirmed absences for Udinese: Alaba D. (Calf Injury) Bayo V. (Thigh Injury) Gueye I. (Ankle Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Parma: Almqvist P. (Calf Injury) Nicolussi Caviglia H. (Thigh Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Udinese: Solet O. (Muscle Injury) Zanoli A. (Muscle Injury).
  • In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Parma has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Parma against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    17Udinese91269:18-95
    18Parma91265:15-105

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Udinese: 0.14% Parma: 0.11%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Parma
    Italian Serie A
    24.10.26 Lazio - Parma 2:1 ✺
    19.10.26 Parma - Torino 0:3 ✺
    10.10.26 Inter Milan - Parma 3:0 ✺
    20.09.26 Parma - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    14.09.26 Como - Parma 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6
    LLLWL
    - Udinese Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    25.10.26 Udinese - Milan 0:2 ✺
    18.10.26 Udinese - Lecce 0:3 ✺
    12.10.26 Torino - Udinese 2:1 ✺
    Club Friendly
    26.09.26 Pogoล„ Szczecin - Udinese 1:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    19.09.26 Udinese - Cagliari 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0
    LLLTL
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    18.04.26 Udinese - Parma 0:1
    29.11.25 Parma - Udinese 0:2
    01.03.25 Udinese - Parma 1:0
    16.09.24 Parma - Udinese 2:3
    21.02.21 Parma - Udinese 2:2
    18.10.20 Udinese - Parma 3:2
    26.01.20 Parma - Udinese 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Parma
    Italian Serie A
    02.11.26 Atalanta - Parma ✺
    - Udinese Calcio
    Italian Serie A
    31.10.26 Udinese - Roma ✺

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