Match Info

Serie A - Round 23

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Udinese		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	2	Watch
	4.25	3.2	1.98	Watch
	4.5	3.22	2.04
	4.49	3.25	2	Watch
	4.2	3	1.95
	4.52	3.23	2.06
	4.5	3.14	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.96)	3.16 ↓ (3.42)	2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
21.8%

Draw
30.3%

Roma
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.5%	9.6%	81.9%

Udinese - Roma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Udinese (2.94) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Udinese (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Udinese (2.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (76 of 93 users predict this - 81.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.86% – 89.58%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (61 of 70 users predict this - 87.14%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 80 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 14 - 17.5%). Roma (votes: 63 - 78.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 28. Solet O. 31. Kristensen T. 13. Bertola N. 19. Ehizibue K. 38. Miller L. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 33. Zemura J. 14. Atta A. 9. Davis K.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 8. El Aynaoui N. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 27. Kabasele C. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 59. Zanoli A. 6. Zarraga O.	3. Angelino 68. Arena A. 75. Della Rocca M. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ndicka E. 🟨,
17', Davis K. 🟨,
35', Kristensen T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Mancini G. 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽,
56', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
59', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
62', Zemura J. 🟨,
67', Pellegrini Lo. 🟨,
67', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
69', Miller L. 🟨,
70', Gueye I. 🟨,
70', Hermoso M. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
78', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
78', Soule M. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
79', Celik Z. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
79', Miller L. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
79', Bertola N. ↓, Kabasele C. ↑,
90+1', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
90+2', Gueye I. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Udinese: Buksa A. (Calf Injury) Kamara H. (Injury) Modesto R. (Injury) Piotrowski J. (Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Kone M. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Zaniolo N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:38. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.32% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
26.01.26	Verona - Udinese	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Udinese - Pisa	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Torino - Udinese	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Como - Udinese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTWL
- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Panathinaikos - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Roma - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.01.26	Roma - Torino	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0
26.01.25	Udinese - Roma	1:2
22.09.24	Roma - Udinese	3:0
25.04.24	Udinese - Roma	1:2
26.11.23	Roma - Udinese	3:1
16.04.23	Roma - Udinese	3:0
04.09.22	Udinese - Roma	4:0

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