Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Moravia Morawica		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.50	1.73
	3.8	3.6	1.72
	3.82	3.65	1.69
	4.08	3.85	1.7	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.66
	4.12	3.72	1.7	Watch
	3.32	3.7	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.32)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moravia Morawica
23.4%

Draw
24.5%

Czarni Połaniec
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

23.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

23.2%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moravia Morawica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moravia Morawica than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Moravia Morawica - Czarni Połaniec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 0, Zadlo M. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Banik M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Piatrenka A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Moravia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Czarni Połaniec has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Czarni Połaniec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Czarni Połaniec might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18:16	2	20
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13:22	-9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moravia Morawica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.26	Hetman Zamość - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Chełmianka Chełm	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.26	Czarni Połaniec - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWLL

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