Match Info
National League North - Round 5Date: 28 August 2026, FridayLocation: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)
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Morecambe |
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AFC Telford United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.05 |
3.50 |
2.90 |
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2.10 |
3.40 |
2.80 |
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2.16 |
3.35 |
2.75 |
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2.09 |
3.90 |
3.17 |
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2.11 |
3.84 |
2.98 |
 Watch |
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2.06 |
3.85 |
3.00 |
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2.07 |
3.58 |
2.97 |
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2.12 |
3.50 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.84) |
3.62 ↑
(3.55) |
2.94 ↓
(3.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Morecambe
43.6% | Draw
25.3% | AFC Telford United
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Morecambe - AFC Telford United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Collis T. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Collis T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 88', 2 - 1, Moult L. ⚽,
Preview
Morecambe is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Telford's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). Morecambe might have a minor edge in this game. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Morecambe: 6.07%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 14 |
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| 21 | AFC Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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