Match Info

National League - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Morecambe		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.4
	5.75	4.4	1.4
	6.1	4.55	1.44
	6.56	4.74	1.44
	2.96	3.58	2.18	Watch
	6	4.33	1.4
	6.6	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (5.03)	4.41 ↑ (3.95)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
16.7%

Draw
21.4%

Forest Green Rovers
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

23.4%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	5%	90%

Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Forest Green (2.11) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - Forest Green (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Forest Green Rovers will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Forest Green Rovers will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mair A. (G) 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 3. Conte R. 7. Edwards G. 6. Francillette L. 11. Muskwe A. 20. Sangare M. 14. Sesay A. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 18. Tollitt B.	1. McNicholas L. (G) 8. Haughton N. 32. Kanu A. 3. Kengni N. 11. Knowles T. 7. McAllister K. 6. Mendy L. 29. Mitchell K. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 21. Pemberton T. 25. Whitwell H.
Substitutes
4. Agyemang T. 19. Campbell M. 17. Lewis P. 21. Nuttall J. 9. Panayiotou H. 25. Scales A. (G) 15. Williams B.	26. Balagizi J. 20. Bamba Y. 16. Bunker H. 14. Clarke J. 5. Inniss R. 18. Moore I. 12. Pagel F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 1 - 0, Edwards G. ⚽, Muskwe A. (A),
24', Azeez M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, McAllister K. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Knowles T. ⚽, Mitchell K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moore-Taylor J. ↓, Inniss R. ↑,
46', 1 - 3, Knowles T. ⚽,
67', Sangare M. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
67', Sesay A. ↓, Agyemang T. ↑,
70', Mitchell K. ↓, Balagizi J. ↑,
70', Haughton N. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
76', Muskwe A. 🟨,
78', Cain J. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
78', Muskwe A. ↓, Panayiotou H. ↑,
79', Clarke J. 🟨,
82', Edwards G. ↓, Nuttall J. ↑,
88', McAllister K. ↓, Bamba Y. ↑,
90+2', Whitwell H. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 2.

Recent performances by Morecambe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forest Green is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Morecambe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Forest Green is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 5.03 are the expected chance of winning is 18.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
30.08.25	Morecambe - Woking	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Morecambe - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Fylde - Morecambe	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Marine - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTT
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
30.08.25	Braintree Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Halifax Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Yeovil Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.04.24	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
30.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	1:2
English League One
11.02.23	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
17.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	1:2
English League Two
09.03.21	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	2:2
24.10.20	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
22.10.19	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	0:2

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