Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Referee: Middleton D. (Eng)


	Morecambe		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.95
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.87	3.64	2
	3.78	3.58	1.92	Watch
	3.7	3.4	2.05
	3.67	3.58	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.21)	3.54 ↑ (3.47)	1.98 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
25.7%

Draw
26.7%

Gillingham
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.1%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.6%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Morecambe - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moore S. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 4. White T. 28. Jones C. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 7. Edwards G. 9. Hope H.	25. Turner J. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. 14. McKenzie R. 8. Little A. 7. Nolan J. 17. Clarke J. 10. Williams J. 24. Wakeling J.
Substitutes
10. Angol L. 1. Burgoyne H. (G) 26. Dobson L. 3. Lewis A. 22. Millen R. 11. Slew J. 5. Taylor M.	29. Gbode J. 31. Giles A. 12. Hawkins O. 32. Lapslie G. 1. Morris G. (G) 42. Waldock H. 18. Wyllie M.
Coaches
Adams D.	Bonner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Williams J. ↓, Lapslie G. ↑,
62', Wakeling J. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
65', Hutton R. 🟨,
68', White T. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Lapslie G. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
80', Tollitt B. ↓, Angol L. ↑,
81', Nolan J. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
85', Lapslie G. 🟨,
90+1', Tutonda D. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
90+2', Hendrie L. ↓, Millen R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0.

Morecambe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gillingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Morecambe have a series of guest games.

Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League Cup
13.08.24	Huddersfield Town - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
English League Two
10.08.24	Walsall - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Burton Albion - Morecambe	2:2 ✺
30.07.24	Southport - Morecambe	Canceled ✺
26.07.24	Morecambe - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLT?T
- Gillingham FC
English League Cup
13.08.24	Swansea City - Gillingham	3:1 ✺
English League Two
10.08.24	Gillingham - Carlisle United	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Woking - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
23.07.24	Dartford - Gillingham	0:4 ✺
20.07.24	Gillingham - Watford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.03.24	Morecambe - Gillingham	2:3
16.09.23	Gillingham - Morecambe	2:1
English League One
12.02.22	Morecambe - Gillingham	1:1
21.08.21	Gillingham - Morecambe	2:1
English League Two
16.03.13	Morecambe - Gillingham	1:1
17.11.12	Gillingham - Morecambe	2:1
05.05.12	Gillingham - Morecambe	N/A

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