Match Info
National League North - Round 8Date: 8 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Haig Avenue (Southport)
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Southport |
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Morecambe |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.4 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
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3.40 |
3.20 |
1.95 |
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3.45 |
3.25 |
1.98 |
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3.95 |
3.3 |
1.99 |
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3.71 |
3.32 |
2.01 |
 Watch |
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3.85 |
3.2 |
1.97 |
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3.57 |
3.46 |
2 |
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3.55 |
3.3 |
1.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.61 ↑
(2.43) |
3.29 ↓
(3.35) |
1.97 ↓
(2.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Southport
25.4% | Draw
27.9% | Morecambe
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southport's form might have worsened.Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morecambe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Southport - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Moseley A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 81', 1 - 1, Newby E. ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 1, Ogwuru D. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).Southport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Morecambe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). Morecambe might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Southport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Morecambe: 6.07% Southport: 0.73%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 14 |
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| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Morecambe - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly | | | 30.07.24 | Southport - Morecambe | Canceled | | 18.07.23 | Southport - Morecambe | 1:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
