The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 44%
Draw 25.9%
Yeovil Town 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
26%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
25.7%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Morecambe - Yeovil Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Blackman J. (G) 5. Kacurri M. 6. Francillette L. 20. Sangare M. 28. Sutton E. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 7. Edwards G. 10. Cain J. 18. Tollitt B. 36. Nolan J. 11. Muskwe A.
1. Ward J. (G) 4. Williams M. 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 6. Wannell J. 8. McCormick L. 25. Jolliffe M. 3. Whittle A. 7. Morias J. 18. Plant J. 19. Sims J. 11. Daly J.
Substitutes
12. Aarons R. 8. Azeez M. 19. Campbell M. 1. Mair A. (G) 9. Panayiotou H. 32. Thomas G. 15. Williams B.
29. Campbell T. 15. Ellison D. 28. Espain L. 22. Gould M. (G) 21. Greenslade H. 14. McGavin B. 17. Oluwabori A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
33', Panayiotou H. 🟨,
41', Daly J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Edwards G. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
66', Sims J. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
71', Plant J. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
72', Cain J. ↓, Azeez M. ↑,
76', McCormick L. 🟨,
86', Panayiotou H. ↓, Aarons R. ↑,
90+4', Williams M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 2.
Morecambe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Yeovil has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Morecambe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Morecambe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).