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Current Win Probability
Eastleigh 49.9%
Draw 24.4%
Morecambe 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
23.2%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
22.3%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastleigh's form might have worsened.
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morecambe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastleigh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Eastleigh - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 4. Humphries L. 6. Eweka T. 27. Harris A. 2. Brindley R. 17. Lundstram J. 8. Taylor J. 24. Cousins J. 15. Saunders H. 10. McGuckin C. 19. Skinner L.
40. Blackman J. (G) 2. Payne L. 5. Kacurri M. 6. Francillette L. 15. Williams B. 36. Nolan J. 10. Cain J. 8. Azeez M. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 7. Edwards G. 21. Nuttall J.
Substitutes
40. Bamey S. 21. Davis S. 7. Evans K. 22. McNamara J. (G) 16. Pierre A. 3. Vokins J. 18. Waruih A.
12. Aarons R. 1. Mair A. (G) 11. Muskwe A. 20. Sangare M. 24. Songo'o Y. 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Edwards G. ↓, Aarons R. ↑,
50', Payne L. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Humphries L. ⚽,
72', Francillette L. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, McGuckin C. (Pen),
73', Nuttall J. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
74', Nolan J. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
74', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
77', Skinner L. ↓, Vokins J. ↑,
82', Kacurri M. 🟨,
82', Williams B. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
86', Brindley R. ↓, Davis S. ↑,
86', Sangare M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Tollitt B. ⚽,
90', Eweka T. 🟨,
90+2', Waruih A. 🟨,
90+3', McGuckin C. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Eastleigh has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Morecambe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Eastleigh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Eastleigh is a strong favorite.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.