Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Morecambe		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.8
	2.28	3.7	2.68
	2.24	3.89	2.87
	2.36	3.64	2.64	Watch
	2.2	3.78	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.35)	3.74 ↑ (3.54)	2.77 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
41.6%

Draw
24.8%

Sutton United
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Morecambe - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Blackman J. (G) 12. Aarons R. 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 5. Kacurri M. 11. Muskwe A. 21. Nuttall J. 2. Payne L. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 18. Tollitt B. 15. Williams B.	27. Reid T. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 28. Jennings K. 42. Muller H. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D. 14. Pruti E. (C) 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 25. Taylor J. 15. Tizzard W.
Substitutes
29. Dixon-Bonner E. 6. Francillette L. 1. Mair A. (G) 36. Nolan J. 9. Panayiotou H. 33. Raikhy A. 28. Sutton E.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 37. Bell C. 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. 10. Nadesan A. 5. Phipps H. 30. Woodyard A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Kacurri M. 🟨,
45+1', Njoku B. ↓, Nadesan A. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Azeez M. ⚽, Payne L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tizzard W. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Cain J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Simper L. (Pen),
74', 2 - 2, Nadesan A. ⚽,
81', Aarons R. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
86', Jennings K. ↓, Woodyard A. ↑,
90', Ogbonna D. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Morecambe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sutton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Morecambe has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sutton has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sutton United - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
04.11.25	Hartlepool United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eastleigh - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Boston United - Morecambe	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Morecambe - Southend United	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Chester - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLL
- Sutton United
English National League
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Sutton United - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Wealdstone - Sutton United	4:2 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Sutton United - West Ham United U21	3:4 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.02.24	Morecambe - Sutton United	1:0
21.10.23	Sutton United - Morecambe	2:3

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