Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Morecambe		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.8
	2.28	3.7	2.68
	2.24	3.89	2.87
	2.36	3.64	2.64	Watch
	2.2	3.78	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.35)	3.74 ↑ (3.54)	2.77 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
41.6%

Draw
24.8%

Sutton United
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

25.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Morecambe - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Blackman J. (G) 12. Aarons R. 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 5. Kacurri M. 11. Muskwe A. 21. Nuttall J. 2. Payne L. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 18. Tollitt B. 15. Williams B.	27. Reid T. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 28. Jennings K. 42. Muller H. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D. 14. Pruti E. (C) 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 25. Taylor J. 15. Tizzard W.
Substitutes
29. Dixon-Bonner E. 6. Francillette L. 1. Mair A. (G) 36. Nolan J. 9. Panayiotou H. 33. Raikhy A. 28. Sutton E.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 37. Bell C. 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. 10. Nadesan A. 5. Phipps H. 30. Woodyard A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Kacurri M. 🟨,
45+1', Njoku B. ↓, Nadesan A. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Azeez M. ⚽, Payne L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tizzard W. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Cain J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Simper L. (Pen),
74', 2 - 2, Nadesan A. ⚽,
81', Aarons R. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
86', Jennings K. ↓, Woodyard A. ↑,
90', Ogbonna D. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Morecambe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sutton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Morecambe has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sutton has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sutton United - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
04.11.25	Hartlepool United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eastleigh - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Boston United - Morecambe	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Morecambe - Southend United	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Chester - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLL
- Sutton United
English National League
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Sutton United - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Wealdstone - Sutton United	4:2 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Sutton United - West Ham United U21	3:4 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.02.24	Morecambe - Sutton United	1:0
21.10.23	Sutton United - Morecambe	2:3

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