Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Moreirense		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.33	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2	3	4.25	Watch
	2	3.04	3.99
	2.08	3.01	4.41
	2	3.1	4.2
	2.06	3.1	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	4.21 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moreirense
46.6%

Draw
31%

Setúbal
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

30.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

19.8%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Setúbal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moreirense - Setúbal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
02.02.20	Gil Vicente - Moreirense	1:5 ✺
29.01.20	Moreirense - Braga	1:2 ✺
18.01.20	Tondela - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
10.01.20	Moreirense - Porto	2:4 ✺
05.01.20	Paços de Ferreira - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTLL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Liga Portugal
01.02.20	Setúbal - Porto	0:4 ✺
26.01.20	Tondela - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
18.01.20	BSAD - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
11.01.20	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
05.01.20	Famalicão - Setúbal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
23.08.19	Setúbal - Moreirense	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
03.08.19	Setúbal - Moreirense	1:0
Liga Portugal
02.03.19	Moreirense - Setúbal	1:1
06.10.18	Setúbal - Moreirense	3:0
15.01.18	Moreirense - Setúbal	2:2
06.08.17	Setúbal - Moreirense	1:1
02.04.17	Setúbal - Moreirense	2:0

Upcoming Matches