The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreirense 9.2%
Draw 17%
Porto 73.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
10.3%
18.5%
71.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
9.7%
17.4%
75.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
8%
82%
Moreirense - Porto Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Moreirense (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +2 - Moreirense (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Porto will win
(39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Porto (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. 44. Marcelo (C) 26. Maracas 27. Kiko 20. Bernardo 8. Stjepanovic M. 11. Alanzinho 7. Teguia C. 99. Yan Maranhao 2. Travassos
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 74. Moura F. 10. Veiga G. 22. Varela A. 8. Froholdt V. 11. Pepê 9. Samu 17. Sainz B.
Substitutes
25. Assis A. 66. Batista G. 22. Caio (G) 30. Gower J. 95. Guilherme Schettine 19. Jorquera Romero J. 78. Landerson 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri
14. Claudio Ramos (G) 6. Eustaquio S. 52. Fernandes M. 27. Gul D. 75. Karamoh Y. 86. Mora R. 21. Prpic D. 13. Rosario P. 7. William Gomes
Coaches
Costa V.
Farioli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Alanzinho ⚽,
43', Alanzinho 🟨,
45', Maracas 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Samu (Pen),
45+6', Sainz B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sainz B. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
59', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
64', Yan Maranhao ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
70', Ferreira A. 🟨,
74', Kiko ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
75', Pepê ↓, Gul D. ↑,
75', Moura F. ↓, Prpic D. ↑,
83', Alanzinho ↓, Batista G. ↑,
83', Teguia C. ↓, Rodri ↑,
84', Samu ↓, Karamoh Y. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Gul D. ⚽, Kiwior J. (A),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
Moreirense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Porto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Moreirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Moreirense: Ofori L.
(Ankle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Perez T.
(Inactive)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:53. (average 0.8:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
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Slovakia
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Ferreira A. (G) 
Marcelo (C) 
Stjepanovic M. 
Teguia C. 
Bednarek J. 
Varela A. 
Froholdt V. 
Batista G. 
Gower J. 
Eustaquio S. 
Gul D. 
Karamoh Y. 
Prpic D. 
Rosario P. 
Farioli F. 
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