Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Moreirense U19		Paços de Ferreira U19

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.8
	1.75	3.69	4.01
	1.76	3.69	3.93
	1.89	3.77	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)	3.85 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense U19
51.1%

Draw
25.1%

Paços de Ferreira U19
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

24.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

24.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Paços de Ferreira U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense U19 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira U19 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Moreirense U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Moreirense U19 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paços U19 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Moreirense U19 is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moreirense U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Moreirense U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
04.04.26	Vizela U19 - Moreirense U19	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Moreirense U19	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Moreirense U19 - Braga U19	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Moreirense U19 - Chaves U19	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Moreirense U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLWW
- Paços de Ferreira U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
04.04.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Braga U19	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Chaves U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Vizela U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Moreirense U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
21.02.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Moreirense U19	0:1
10.01.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Moreirense U19	1:1
04.10.25	Moreirense U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	0:1

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