Match Info

NPL Queensland U23 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moreton City Excelsior U23		Gold Coast Knights U23

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.90	3.50
	1.82	3.85	3.20
	1.75	3.94	3.64
	1.75	4.15	3.64	Watch
	1.69	3.9	3.6
	1.72	4.1	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.28)	3.97 ↑ (3.7)	3.53 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior U23
51.8%

Draw
22.7%

Gold Coast Knights U23
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

24.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreton City Excelsior U23's performance.

Gold Coast Knights U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gold Coast Knights U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior U23 than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreton City Excelsior U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Knights U23 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gold Coast Knights U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Gold Coast Knights U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moreton City U23 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). GC Knights U23 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (2 - 0)

Preview

Moreton City U23 is Qualified for NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs )

Moreton City U23 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, GC Knights U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moreton City U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moreton City U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moreton City U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
28.08.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland Lions U23	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Olympic FC U20 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Peninsula Power U23	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland State Team U17	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- Gold Coast Knights U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
30.08.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Gold Coast Knights U23	2:3 penalties ✺
08.08.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Peninsula Power U23	5:2 ✺
31.07.26	Gold Coast United U23 - Gold Coast Knights U23	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Gold Coast United U23	2:4 ✺
18.07.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Wynnum Wolves U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland U23
03.07.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	1:2

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Gold Coast Knights U23