Match Info

NPL Queensland U23 - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moreton City Excelsior U23		Queensland Lions U23

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.70	2.30
	2.28	3.75	2.4
	2.38	3.5	2.46
	2.4	3.68	2.5	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.4
	2.31	4.11	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.88)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior U23
38.3%

Draw
24.4%

Queensland Lions U23
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

23.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

23.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreton City Excelsior U23's performance.

Queensland Lions U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queensland Lions U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior U23 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreton City Excelsior U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queensland Lions U23 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queensland Lions U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland Lions U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs: )).

Queensland Lions U23 is Qualified for NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs )

Moreton City U23 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Queensland Lions U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Queensland Lions U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Queensland Lions U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
08.08.26	Olympic FC U20 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Peninsula Power U23	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland State Team U17	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Magic United U23	6:1 ✺
03.07.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Queensland Lions U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
01.08.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Peninsula Power U23	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Gold Coast United U23 - Queensland Lions U23	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Eastern Suburbs U23	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Olympic FC U20	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Queensland Lions U23 - Wynnum Wolves U23	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLW

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland Lions U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland Lions U23 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Top Bookmakers Offers

Top Sports Predictions Today

About TVEvents