Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 6 July 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV


	Mornar Bar		Slaven Belupo

	1	X	2
	8.25	5	1.28	Watch
	5.44	4.66	1.31
	9.5	4.8	1.25
	8	5.55	1.28	Watch
	4.6	3.85	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.16 ↑ (4.98)	4.77 ↑ (4.03)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
12.8%

Draw
19.2%

Slaven Belupo
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.2%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

19.7%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mornar Bar's form might have worsened.

Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slaven Belupo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mornar Bar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slaven Belupo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Mornar Bar - Slaven Belupo Predictions

Users Predictions: Slaven Belupo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Mornar Bar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Slaven Belupo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mornar Bar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Slaven Belupo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
Club Friendly
03.07.23	Mornar Bar - Radomlje	2:5 ✺
Montenegrin Druga Liga
03.06.23	Berane - Mornar Bar	0:2 ✺
30.05.23	Mornar Bar - Berane	2:0 ✺
Montenegrin First League
25.05.23	Mornar Bar - Budućnost Podgorica	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLT
- NK Slaven Belupo
Club Friendly
02.07.23	Celje - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
28.06.23	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Slaven Belupo	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
27.05.23	Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo	1:1 ✺
19.05.23	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLT

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