Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Mali	ORTM
Morocco	Al Aoula, Arryadia, SNRT Live


	Morocco		Mali

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.9	8.5
	1.29	5.25	10.00
	1.34	4.3	9.7
	1.35	4.97	9.69
	1.29	4.93	10.5
	1.31	4.9	9.55
	1.39	4.31	9.88	Watch
	1.32	4.3	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	4.61 ↑ (3.75)	9.48 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morocco
70%

Draw
20.2%

Mali
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

24.4%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco's performance.

Mali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Morocco - Mali Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Morocco will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bono (C) Al Hilal 28. Maamar A. Anderlecht 14. Diop I. Ipswich 5. Aguerd N. Marseille 26. Salah-Eddine A. Panathinaikos 24. El Aynaoui N. RB Leipzig 6. Bouaddi A. Manchester City 23. El Khannouss B. VfB Stuttgart 8. Ounahi A. Panathinaikos 17. El-Faouzi S. Schalke 11. Saibari I. Bayern Munich	22. Samassa M. (G) Laval 19. Camara O. Angers 5. Keita C. Charleroi 14. Gassama N. Baltika 15. Guindo D. Reims 8. Sangare M. Brentford 4. Haidara A. (C) Lens 12. Tia M. Reims 11. Coulibaly L. Lecce 7. Nene D. Fenerbahce 18. Doumbia M. Watford
Substitutes
27. Ait Boudlal A. Rennes 7. Akhomach I. Villarreal 29. Bentayeb T. Anderlecht 10. Diaz B. Real Madrid 15. El Mourabet S. Strasbourg 13. El Ouahdi Z. Hamburger 2. Hakimi A. PSG 25. Halhal R. Venezia 12. Munir (G) 20. Ouazane A. Ajax 9. Rahimi S. Al Ain 4. Saadane M. Al Fateh 18. Targhalline O. Feyenoord 16. Yassine G. Strasbourg 21. Zabiri Y. Racing Santander	3. Dante A. Brno 6. Diakite O. West Brom 21. Diarra G. Feyenoord 23. Dieng A. Valencia 24. Djiguiba I. Bougouba 1. Doucoure E. (G) Genk 10. Doumbia K. Brest 20. Koita S. Genclerbirligi 13. Sagnan M. Rizespor 2. Traore H. Paris FC 16. Traore N. (G) Stade Malien
Coaches
Ouahbi M.	Tony

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Sangare M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Ezzalzouli A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Haidara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gassama N. ↓, Sagnan M. ↑,
65', Ezzalzouli A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
65', Saibari I. ↓, Rahimi S. ↑,
65', Haidara A. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
65', Nene D. ↓, Diarra G. ↑,
67', Keita C. 🟨,
73', Samassa M. ↓, Doucoure E. ↑,
73', Guindo D. ↓, Dante A. ↑,
73', Sangare M. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
73', Coulibaly L. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
76', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Diarra G. ⚽,
79', Tia M. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
80', Maamar A. ↓, El Ouahdi Z. ↑,
80', Ounahi A. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
81', Dieng A. 🟨,
88', Sagnan M. 🟨,
90+3', El Khannouss B. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,

Preview

Morocco is ranked FIFA: 6., and Mali is ranked FIFA: 53..

Mali may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Morocco enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Morocco has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:2 (averaging 2.2:0.4 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morocco
Africa Cup of Nations
29.09.26	Lesotho - Morocco	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Morocco - Gabon	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.07.26	France - Morocco	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Canada - Morocco	0:3 ✺
29.06.26	Netherlands - Morocco	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- Mali
Friendly
03.10.26	Tunisia - Mali	Canceled ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
29.09.26	Liberia - Mali	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Mali - Cape Verde	3:1 ✺
Friendly
04.06.26	Iran - Mali	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Russia - Mali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 ?WWLT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
26.12.25	Morocco - Mali	1:1
African Nations Championship
07.02.21	Mali - Morocco	0:2
FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	Mali - Morocco	0:0
01.09.17	Morocco - Mali	6:0
Friendly
06.03.13	Morocco - Mali	2:1

Morocco - Mali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide