The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morocco 15.4%
Draw 25%
Portugal 59.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.2%
25.7%
57.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.7%
25%
55.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morocco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.2%
10.9%
79.9%
Morocco - Portugal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Portugal will win
(294 of 368 users predict this - 79.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.79% – 83.99%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Morocco was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, has a chance of semi-finals (32%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a very small chance of win world cup (4%).
Portugal was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, has a good chance of semi-finals (68%), has a chance of final (33%), has a chance of win world cup (18%).
Morocco in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Portugal is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Portugal is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Morocco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Bulgaria
Czech-republic
Denmark
France
Germany
Malaysia
Portugal
Slovenia
Sweden
Switzerland
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