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Current Win Probability
Morocco 15.7%
Draw 24.8%
Spain 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.8%
24.3%
62%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.7%
12%
60.3%
Morocco - Spain Predictions
Users Predictions:
267 users predict this event. Morocco will win (votes: 74 - 27.7%). Spain will win (votes: 161 - 60.3%). It will Tie (votes: 32 - 12%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 54.4% – 66.2%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Morocco was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, has a chance of quarter-finals (27%), has a small chance of semi-finals (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win world cup (1%).
Spain has not chance of 1st place, was already of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of quarter-finals (73%), has a chance of semi-finals (45%), has a chance of final (25%), has a small chance of win world cup (13%).
In this match Spain is absolute favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Morocco won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.