Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Dobsonville Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport


	Moroka Swallows		Durban City

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	3
	2.28	2.85	3.4
	2.47	2.89	3.41
	2.3	2.8	3.25
	2.29	3.02	3.25	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.11)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)	3.24 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moroka Swallows
39.6%

Draw
31.8%

Durban City
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

32.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Durban City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	81.8%	0%

Moroka Swallows - Durban City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moroka Swallows will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship).

Moroka Swallows has the most likely position - 14 (19.6%), project points - 33, currently - 28, a chance of relegated (21%), not chance of qualify for ccl.

Maritzburg United has the most likely position - 16 (59.97%), project points - 29, currently - 25, a good chance of relegated (73%), not chance of qualify for ccl.

This event has very small quality 9, big importance 82, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Moroka Swallows will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
22.04.23	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	AmaZulu - Moroka Swallows	0:1 ✺
17.03.23	Moroka Swallows - Lamontville Golden Arrows	0:1 ✺
03.03.23	Moroka Swallows - Orlando Pirates	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWLL
- Durban City
South African Premier Soccer League
21.04.23	Durban City - Richards Bay	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Sekhukhune United - Durban City	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	TS Galaxy - Durban City	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Durban City - Kaizer Chiefs	2:3 ✺
04.03.23	Durban City - Cape Town City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
12.08.22	Durban City - Moroka Swallows	0:0
12.04.22	Durban City - Moroka Swallows	1:1
04.12.21	Moroka Swallows - Durban City	1:1
30.04.21	Durban City - Moroka Swallows	1:1
15.12.20	Moroka Swallows - Durban City	2:0
01.05.15	Moroka Swallows - Durban City	1:0
26.11.14	Durban City - Moroka Swallows	1:2

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