Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.18
	2.95	3.37	2.22
	3.05	3.82	2.05	Watch
	2.92	3.28	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	3.44 ↓ (3.82)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
31%

Draw
26.6%

Bamber Bridge
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

24.3%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

23.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Bamber Bridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Morpeth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1.

Morpeth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bamber has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bamber might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Morpeth Town - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.11.25	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Bradford Park Avenue - Morpeth Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Morpeth Town - Workington	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Morpeth Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
01.11.25	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Bamber Bridge - Rushall Olympic	4:0 ✺
07.10.25	Hyde United - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:2
02.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	1:2
10.02.24	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	1:3
23.09.23	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	3:3
04.04.23	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	1:0
04.10.22	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	1:1
16.04.22	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	3:2

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