Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 12

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Morpeth Town		Cleethorpes Town

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.3	2.45
	2.77	3.63	2.23
	1.73	3.84	4.25	Watch
	2.49	3.32	2.46
	2.71	3.66	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.53)	3.55 ↓ (3.58)	2.72 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
38.7%

Draw
26.6%

Cleethorpes Town
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Cleethorpes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleethorpes Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Morpeth Town - Cleethorpes Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Hooper J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Vann J. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Conway B. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Morpeth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Cleethorpes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cleethorpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Morpeth has had a series of away games.

Recently, Cleethorpes has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.10.25	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	4:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Runcorn Linnets - Morpeth Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Morpeth Town - Southport	1:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
16.09.25	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLT
- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.10.25	Cleethorpes Town - Prescot Cables	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Cleethorpes Town - Redditch United	0:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Cleethorpes Town - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Cleethorpes Town - Leek Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWW

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