Match Info

Goiano 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Morrinhos		Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.10	1.90
	3.95	3.52	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.35	1.82
	4.12	3.1	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.56)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)	1.84 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morrinhos
23.2%

Draw
27.7%

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morrinhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morrinhos's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morrinhos than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morrinhos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morrinhos - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio Anápolis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 5th and 9th in the Relegation - Goiano 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morrinhos won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Morrinhos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Morrinhos has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 1.2:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Morrinhos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Morrinhos	18	6	5	7	26:26	0	23
9	Gremio Anapolis	18	3	6	9	22:29	-7	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morrinhos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
07.10.26	Bom Jesus - Morrinhos	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Morrinhos - São Luís AC	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Goiânia - Morrinhos	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Morrinhos - Rio Verde	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Morrinhos - Trindade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTW
- Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
07.10.26	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Goiânia	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Rio Verde	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Trindade - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Bom Jesus	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Goianésia - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
25.07.26	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Morrinhos	0:1
30.07.25	Morrinhos - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:2
21.05.25	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Morrinhos	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
22.01.23	Morrinhos - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	4:0
13.02.22	Morrinhos - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	0:0
10.02.22	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Morrinhos	0:0

Morrinhos - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis