Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Mortágua		Coruchense

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.75
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	1.87	3.2	3.8
	1.85	3.26	4.35
	1.83	3	4.33
	1.8	3.3	4.15
	1.9	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.69)	3.15 ↓ (3.5)	3.98 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
48.5%

Draw
28.7%

Coruchense
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

27.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mortágua's form might have worsened.

Coruchense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mortágua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruchense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Mortágua is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Sintrense - Mortágua	2:4 ✺
04.12.22	Mortágua - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Mortágua - Rio Maior	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Marinhense - Mortágua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTWL
- GD Coruchense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Sertanense - Coruchense	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Coruchense - Alcains	4:0 ✺
20.11.22	Loures - Coruchense	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Coruchense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWLT

Mortágua - Coruchense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide