Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 14

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	SB Castelo Branco		Mortágua

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.72	3.6
	2.15	2.86	3.6	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.4
	2.16	2.77	3.61
	2.12	2.83	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 (2.14)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SB Castelo Branco
42.2%

Draw
32.4%

Mortágua
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

32.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for SB Castelo Branco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2.

Mortágua has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SB Castelo Branco could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mortagua	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10
8	SB Castelo Branco	4	2	0	2	7:9	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Fatima	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Samora Correia - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Peniche	5:0 ✺
29.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.12.25	Eléctrico - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Mortágua - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Os Marialvas - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mortágua - Naval	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Mortágua	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.08.25	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	1:1
16.02.25	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	1:1
06.10.24	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	0:0
21.01.24	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	2:0
03.09.23	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	2:2
27.11.22	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	0:0

SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide