Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 19

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mortágua		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.66
	4.33	3.6	1.7
	4.24	3.49	1.67
	4.64	3.68	1.71
	4.46	3.7	1.66
	4.2	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (4.48)	3.61 ↑ (3.48)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
21%

Draw
25.1%

União de Santarém
53.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

26.3%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

26.3%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Mortágua is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União de Santarém is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mortágua won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mortágua won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.02.24	Marinhense - Mortágua	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Mortágua - Peniche	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mortágua - Gouveia	3:2 ✺
07.01.24	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWT
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.02.24	União de Santarém - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	União de Santarém - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Peniche - União de Santarém	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	União de Santarém - SB Castelo Branco	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Gouveia - União de Santarém	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.10.23	União de Santarém - Mortágua	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	União de Santarém - Mortágua	4:1
04.12.22	Mortágua - União de Santarém	1:2

Mortágua - União de Santarém

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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