Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Mortágua		Portimonense B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.67	3.5	4.48
	1.73	3.57	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)	4.57 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
54%

Draw
26.1%

Portimonense B
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Portimonense B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense B than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Mortágua - Portimonense B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Pedrosa N. (G)
. Artur Simionato
. Camara S.
39. Ferrao J.
. Lopes H.
10. Pais J.
. Pereira T.
. Rianco J.
8. Seidy (C)
16. Sena A.
5. Silva C.
Substitutes
23. Afonso Figueiredo Antunes I.
9. Braz D.
20. Bula
11. Elias
17. Jony Borges
26. Madeira M.
22. Mira T. (G)
6. Paredes G.
55. Verdade A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Pais J. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Portimonense B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mortágua is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.10.25	Mortágua - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Peniche - Mortágua	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mortágua - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Mortágua - Os Marialvas	1:0 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	Marinhense - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWW
- Portimonense B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.10.25	Portimonense B - Alcochetense	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Oriental - Portimonense B	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Portimonense B - Penafiel	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Portimonense B - Alverca B	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Elvas - Portimonense B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43 WLWLW

Mortágua - Portimonense B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide