Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 3

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Gandarada (Mortagua)


	Mortágua		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.45
	1.94	3.42	4.62
	1.78	3.50	4.16	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.38)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	4.14 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
49.9%

Draw
27.5%

SC Lusitânia
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mortágua's performance.

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SC Lusitânia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mortágua - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mortágua will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Mortágua is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Mortágua will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mortágua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	Peniche - Mortágua	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mortágua - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Mortágua - Os Marialvas	1:0 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	Marinhense - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Carregal Do Sal - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	2:4 ✺
28.09.25	Os Marialvas - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	SC Lusitânia - Naval	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	SC Lusitânia - Elvas	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.03.24	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	2:3
10.12.23	Mortágua - SC Lusitânia	1:2

Mortágua - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide