Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	União de Santarém		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.66	3.5	4.75
	1.59	3.45	4.88
	1.62	3.6	5.47
	1.6	3.6	5.16
	1.62	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	5 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
56%

Draw
25.9%

Marinhense
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

24.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 5).

União de Santarém in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Marinhense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's União de Santarém to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 5 head-to-head matches União de Santarém won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams União de Santarém won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.01.24	Peniche - União de Santarém	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	União de Santarém - SB Castelo Branco	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Gouveia - União de Santarém	1:4 ✺
17.12.23	Vitória de Sernache - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	União de Santarém - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.01.24	Marinhense - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Marinhense - Peniche	3:0 ✺
07.01.24	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Gouveia - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	Marinhense - União de Santarém	2:4
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	União de Santarém - Marinhense	4:0
18.12.22	Marinhense - União de Santarém	1:0
30.05.21	União de Santarém - Marinhense	1:1
09.05.21	Marinhense - União de Santarém	1:3

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