Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 26

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play


	Moss		Egersund

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.4
	2.15	3.50	2.87
	2	3.6	3.3
	1.99	3.88	3.54
	2.14	3.81	3	Watch
	1.97	3.8	3.45
	1.97	3.73	3.43	Watch
	1.97	3.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.4)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	3.27 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
46.3%

Draw
25.2%

Egersund
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.1%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moss's performance.

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egersund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moss that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egersund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Moss - Egersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Egersund will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (C) 4. Ibsen N. 17. Andersen P. 5. Jebali O. 2. Cassidy M. 8. Vold Krohg H. 14. Musbaudeen J. 27. Selnaes J. S. 16. Kvale W. 9. Aga O. 10. Njie M.	12. Eriksen M. (G) 25. Gregersen J. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 2. Kleppa H. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 26. Baxter B. 21. Eggen K. 16. Ekeland J. 7. Tornvig N. 10. Michalsen S. R.
Substitutes
7. Alexandersson N. 26. Chidi E. 21. Gronli S. 31. Harveg J. 23. Hermanstad R. 24. Njie M. 22. Ogbole J. 12. Rylandsholm M. (G) 25. Usman T.	19. Gyamfi R. 28. Hardarson H. 29. Hetland A. B. 18. Hovland P. 20. Jorgensen J. 24. Sylla M. 22. Tadesse H. 23. Toft Noreng O. 1. Zapytowski M. (G)
Coaches
Bakke G.	Falkeborn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aga O. ↓, Usman T. ↑,
46', Selnaes J. S. ↓, Alexandersson N. ↑,
63', Baxter B. ↓, Tadesse H. ↑,
63', Tornvig N. ↓, Hardarson H. ↑,
64', Njie M. ↓,
64', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Hermanstad R. ↑,
73', Michalsen S. R. ↓, Hovland P. ↑,
73', Ekeland J. ↓, Gyamfi R. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Moss is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Moss has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:18 (averaging 1.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Moss against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 2.8:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Egersund	28	9	8	11	45:56	-11	35
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	41:59	-18	29

Last Results with these Odds

Moss - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.10.26	Raufoss - Moss	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Moss - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.09.26	Grorud - Moss	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Moss - Haugesund	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.10.26	Egersund - Hødd	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	Ranheim - Egersund	5:0 ✺
20.09.26	Odd - Egersund	5:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Jerv - Egersund	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Egersund - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.07.26	Egersund - Moss	3:0
22.10.25	Egersund - Moss	2:0
28.06.25	Moss - Egersund	2:4
26.08.24	Egersund - Moss	3:2
27.04.24	Moss - Egersund	1:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
08.10.22	Egersund - Moss	2:2
26.06.22	Moss - Egersund	2:0

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