The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Egersund 24.4%
Draw 22.1%
Kongsvinger 53.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
23.1%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
22%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egersund's form might have worsened.
Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kongsvinger's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egersund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kongsvinger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Egersund - Kongsvinger Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zapytowski M. (G) 2. Kleppa H. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 21. Eggen K. 26. Baxter B. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 22. Tadesse H. 14. Lynum J. 7. Tornvig N. 10. Michalsen S. R.
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 2. Fors V. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 19. Nielsen E. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 9. Johnson G. 21. Chaminta A.
Substitutes
12. Eriksen M. (G) 19. Gyamfi R. 28. Hardarson H. 29. Hetland A. B. 18. Hovland P. 20. Jorgensen J. 24. Sylla M. 23. Toft Noreng O.
1. Da Rocha W. (G) 25. Elmi S. 18. Flores M. 17. Gjerstrom M. 6. Hansen A. 22. Langrekken L. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Johansen M.
Vennberg J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Tadesse H. 🟨,
24', Kleppa H. ↓, Hovland P. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Lynum J. ⚽, Sleveland C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nielsen E. ↓, Gjerstrom M. ↑,
46', Chaminta A. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
50', Christiansen R. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Langrekken L. ⚽, Udnaes P. (A),
55', Gjerstrom M. 🟨,
58', Tornvig N. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Baxter B. ↓, Gyamfi R. ↑,
73', Michalsen S. R. 🟨,
76', Tornvig N. ↓, Hardarson H. ↑,
76', Michalsen S. R. ↓, Toft Noreng O. ↑,
84', Sande M. ↓, Elmi S. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 0.
Recent performances by Egersund have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kongsvinger is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Egersund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Kongsvinger will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Egersund won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now
Kongsvinger: 29.45%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Kongsvinger
24
16
5
3
70:35
35
53
9
Egersund
24
8
5
11
36:49
-13
29
Last Results with these Odds
Egersund - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Kongsvinger - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.55%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.