Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Moss		Start

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.7
	2.37	3.4	2.6
	2.4	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.46	3.58	2.79
	2.43	3.51	2.72	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.62
	2.43	3.52	2.71	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)	3.5 ↓ (3.68)	2.71 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
38.8%

Draw
26.7%

Start
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Moss - Start Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Start will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Start (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Start (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Start (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. E. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 4. Harrison K. 24. Welinder M. 23. Barros J. 6. Hapnes A. 20. Sorensen K. 26. Isufi B. 8. Vold Krohg H. 19. Memedov A. 10. Hegland B.	1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 13. Griesbeck S. 5. Jebali O. 2. Palerud F. 18. Ugland M. 10. Mvoue S. 30. Gausdal L. 3. Ujkani A. 20. Lorentzen H. 8. Grundetjern M.
Substitutes
49. Afonso M. 37. Antonsen M. 33. Dahl T. 21. Gronli S. 16. Hoydal S. 22. Ogbole J. 5. Race E. 3. Strande K. 12. Sundling J. (G)	25. Benjamin T. 29. Gono E. 22. Nilsen A. E. 31. Seim J. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 16. Strannegard T. 27. Sunday G.
Coaches
Myhre T.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Vold Krohg H. 🟨,
31', Griesbeck S. ↓, Strannegard T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Sorensen K. ↓, Ogbole J. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Grundetjern M. ⚽, Strannegard T. (A),
50', Harrison K. 🟥,
58', Cassidy M. ↓, Strande K. ↑,
68', Gausdal L. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
72', Memedov A. ↓, Afonso M. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Grundetjern M. ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, Lorentzen H. ⚽,
81', Welinder M. ↓, Gronli S. ↑,
81', Isufi B. ↓, Race E. ↑,
84', Lorentzen H. 🟨,
88', Ugland M. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
88', Palerud F. ↓, Seim J. ↑,
88', Lorentzen H. ↓, Gono E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.05.25	Moss - Skeid	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Odd - Moss	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Moss - Lyn	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Moss - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Moss	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.05.25	Aalesunds - Start	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Start - Egersund	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Raufoss - Start	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Start - Åsane	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Mjøndalen - Start	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.10.24	Start - Moss	1:1
21.05.24	Moss - Start	2:1
24.09.23	Start - Moss	0:0
10.04.23	Moss - Start	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Moss - Start	0:3

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