Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Tonna G. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mosta		Birkirkara

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.50	1.57
	5.30	3.45	1.55
	5.41	3.63	1.59
	5.36	3.66	1.59	Watch
	5.35	3.55	1.57
	5.59	3.55	1.56
	5.20	3.55	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (4.01)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	1.57 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
16.9%

Draw
25.4%

Birkirkara
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.6%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mosta's form might have worsened.

Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birkirkara's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mosta - Birkirkara Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Birkirkara will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 20. Afriyie P. 14. Agyiri E. 30. Cross N. 10. Giancarlo 29. Oderinde C. 42. Pedro Cacho 7. Portelli N. 93. Thiaguinho 96. Wanderson Gotinha 11. Zammit K. (C)	1. Ondoa F. (G) 99. Amarildo 88. Djordjevic A. 94. Fernandinho 3. Frazan 77. Garzia A. 14. Jefferson Vinicius 97. Kadu 22. Muscat Z. (C) 27. Sasere F. 74. Vassallo J.
Substitutes
66. Acheampong G. 15. Attard L. 16. Chetcuti L. 19. Debono R. 26. Ezejiofor O. 18. Farrugia A. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 9. Ohaka P. 4. Ugwu E. 94. Vassallo S.	13. Al Tumi R. (G) 28. Brewer S. 10. Busuttil J. 23. El Hazawi D. (G) 15. Fenech K. 24. Gill B. 25. Micallef N. 30. Pablo Gabriel 17. Pahama L. 9. Reid K. 20. Zani B.
Coaches
Grech J.	Zammit P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Zammit K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Agyiri E. ⚽,
35', Afriyie P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Wanderson Gotinha ↓, Acheampong G. ↑,
58', Agyiri E. ↓, Ugwu E. ↑,
58', Portelli N. ↓, Ohaka P. ↑,
64', Djordjevic A. ↓, Pablo Gabriel ↑,
64', Fernandinho ↓, Pahama L. ↑,
64', Jefferson Vinicius ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
75', Vassallo J. ↓, Busuttil J. ↑,
75', Garzia A. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
75', Giancarlo ↓, Ezejiofor O. ↑,
90+2', Pedro Cacho ↓, Vassallo S. ↑,
90+3', Ohaka P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 0.

Mosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Birkirkara is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	5	10
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mosta - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:4 ✺
Maltese Premier League
10.05.26	Naxxar Lions - Mosta	0:1 ✺
30.04.26	Birkirkara - Mosta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLWT
- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Premier League
22.08.26	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	2:3 ✺
18.07.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
30.04.26	Birkirkara - Mosta	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
30.04.26	Birkirkara - Mosta	1:1
14.02.26	Mosta - Birkirkara	0:0
21.09.25	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:0
19.04.25	Birkirkara - Mosta	1:0
08.02.25	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:0
29.11.24	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:0
29.09.24	Mosta - Birkirkara	0:1

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