Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 6

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Mosta

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.50
	2.32	3.20	2.65
	2.28	3.30	2.46
	2.35	3.43	2.71	Watch
	2.30	3.20	2.60
	2.39	3.32	2.49
	2.32	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.41)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
38.2%

Draw
27.2%

Mosta
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gżira United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Gżira United - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 11th in the Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6th in the Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 4.

Performances by Mosta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gżira could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gżira has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:26 (averaging 2.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gżira against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:14 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Last Results with these Odds

Mosta - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
14.09.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Floriana - Gżira United	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Balzan - Gżira United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTL
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
13.09.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Mosta - Birkirkara	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1
Maltese FA Trophy
03.03.26	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1
Maltese Premier League
22.02.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0
24.11.25	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0
02.10.25	Mosta - Gżira United	3:4
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0
Maltese Premier League
04.01.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0

Gżira United - Mosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide