Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 6

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Malta	19:00	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Mosta

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.50
	2.45	3.15	2.52
	2.5	3.37	2.63
	2.5	3.41	2.54	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.55
	2.59	3.42	2.49
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)	3.31 ↓ (3.48)	2.54 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
36.7%

Draw
27.5%

Mosta
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Gżira United - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 9. Andre 45. Ange M. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Joao Teixeira 27. Maio F. 3. Mentz G. (C) 44. Saldanha 30. Xuereb D.	22. Udoh A. (G) 66. Acheampong G. 20. Afriyie P. 30. Cross N. 6. Frendo N. 9. Ohaka P. 42. Pedro Cacho 7. Portelli N. 93. Thiaguinho 96. Wanderson Gotinha 11. Zammit K. (C)
Substitutes
17. De Flavia A. 23. Djadjo D. 32. Farias J. 11. Farrugia D. 4. Joyce N. 7. Luisinho 77. Pace K. 15. Pena Serna J. 1. Sargent K. (G) 14. Trakosopoulos D. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.	14. Agyiri E. 15. Attard L. 16. Chetcuti L. 19. Debono R. 13. Ebere E. 26. Ezejiofor O. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 29. Oderinde C. 8. Ukpa H. 94. Vassallo S.
Coaches
Abdilla D.	Grech J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Wanderson Gotinha 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 11th in the Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6th in the Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 4.

Performances by Mosta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gżira could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gżira has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:26 (averaging 2.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gżira against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:14 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mosta	10	3	5	2	15:15	0	14
11	Gzira ✔	10	0	5	5	9:21	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Mosta - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
11.10.26	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Floriana - Gżira United	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLLT
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
09.10.26	Mosta - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Mosta - Birkirkara	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1
Maltese FA Trophy
03.03.26	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1
Maltese Premier League
22.02.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0
24.11.25	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0
02.10.25	Mosta - Gżira United	3:4
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0
Maltese Premier League
04.01.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0

Gżira United - Mosta