Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Belhamiti Larbi (Mostaganem)


	Mostaganem		Khenchela

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.78
	2.52	3.51	2.61
	2.09	3.46	3.31	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.63	3.06	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.92)	3.21 ↑ (3.09)	2.83 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mostaganem
38.3%

Draw
29%

Khenchela
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mostaganem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mostaganem's performance.

Khenchela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Khenchela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mostaganem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khenchela than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Mostaganem - Khenchela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mostaganem will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Khenchela will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mostaganem: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mostaganem (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mostaganem (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mostaganem (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hannane A. (G) 6. Benamara A. 4. Benamar B. 2. Boualleg A. 10. El Moudene A. 12. Ezzemani M. 21. Gaagaa A. 7. Motrani Z. 11. Othmani A. 33. Slimane A. 20. Toumi M.	16. Litim O. (G) 9. Askar A. 4. Badjo S. 11. Bakir M. 25. Bendaoud A. 26. Boumechra R. 7. Chekal Affari H. 27. Djaouchi H. 19. Dris A. 22. Guemroud M. 23. Matouti E.
Substitutes
40. Aziria M. (G) 27. Bahoussi A. 38. Ben Zina A. 19. Bibi A. A. B. 29. Hamdi I. 24. Khodja E. K. 31. Laireche F. H. 42. Ramadan R. 26. Sryer B.	24. Aichouche A. 21. Etouga F. 12. Meddour Z. 1. Morcely A. (G) 10. Oukil A. 8. Sameur A. 5. Souyad B. 32. Zaarour A. 6. Zenasni A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Askar A. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Matouti E. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 3, Boumechra R. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Mostaganem has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Khenchela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mostaganem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mostaganem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Khenchela	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 1
05.04.26	Belouizdad - Mostaganem	7:0 ✺
17.03.26	Mostaganem - Paradou	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	ASO Chlef - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mostaganem - MC Alger	0:5 ✺
28.02.26	ES Sétif - Mostaganem	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- USM Khenchela
Algerian Ligue 1
05.04.26	Khenchela - Paradou	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	MC Alger - Khenchela	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Khenchela - Kabylie	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Oran - Khenchela	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Khenchela - Olympique Akbou	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
08.11.25	Khenchela - Mostaganem	1:0
25.02.25	Mostaganem - Khenchela	2:0
06.10.24	Khenchela - Mostaganem	2:0

Mostaganem - Khenchela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide