Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 28

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Belhamiti Larbi (Mostaganem)


	Mostaganem		Saoura

	1	X	2
	15	5.25	1.19
	11	4.95	1.26
	12.54	4.85	1.27
	12.64	5.07	1.26	Watch
	12	4.33	1.29
	10.3	4.4	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.25 ↑ (8.6)	4.81 ↑ (4.2)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mostaganem
7.5%

Draw
19.2%

Saoura
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

22.2%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.3%

21.2%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Saoura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saoura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saoura than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mostaganem - Saoura Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saoura will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Aziria M. (G) 27. Bahoussi A. 6. Benamara A. 4. Benamar B. (C) 19. Bibi A. A. B. 43. Bin Mahdi A. 12. Ezzemani M. 24. Khodja E. K. 31. Laireche F. H. 7. Motrani Z. 20. Toumi M.	1. Salhi A. (G) 2. Akacem R. (C) 23. Allaoui K. 10. Fettouhi N. 4. Mebarki F. 6. Mouali H. 11. Saadi I. 22. Salmi H. 29. Sikiru A. 19. Wayou C. 13. Zaalani N.
Substitutes
21. Gaagaa A. 28. Namani A. 11. Othmani A. 42. Ramadan R. 26. Sryer B.	7. Ayad L. 24. Barkat A. 21. Bentaleb O. 25. Bouchiba A. 5. Boutiche A. 14. Haddouche I. F. 8. Khoumani A. 16. Seggari Z. (G) 26. Yusuf A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', Bibi A. A. B. ↓, Gaagaa A. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Saadi I. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Sikiru A. ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, Fettouhi N. ⚽,
42', Mouali H. ↓, Ayad L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 4, Sikiru A. ⚽, Haddouche I. F. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Mostaganem is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Saoura is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Saoura is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mostaganem won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mostaganem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Saoura	2	0	1	1	0:4	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 1
10.04.26	Mostaganem - Khenchela	0:3 ✺
05.04.26	Belouizdad - Mostaganem	7:0 ✺
17.03.26	Mostaganem - Paradou	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	ASO Chlef - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mostaganem - MC Alger	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL
- JS Saoura
Algerian Ligue 1
17.04.26	Saoura - Khenchela	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Paradou - Saoura	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Saoura - MC Alger	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Kabylie - Saoura	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Saoura - Oran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Cup
15.01.26	Mostaganem - Saoura	0:2
Algerian Ligue 1
20.12.25	Saoura - Mostaganem	3:2
10.05.25	Saoura - Mostaganem	0:0
23.11.24	Mostaganem - Saoura	1:1

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