The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motherwell 51.4%
Draw 25.6%
Aberdeen 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
27.6%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
27.3%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motherwell's performance.
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberdeen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motherwell that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberdeen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Motherwell - Aberdeen Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 55.2% โ 100%.
1. Paulsen A. (G) 7. Sparrow T. (C) 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 5. Moormann M. 45. Longelo E. 8. Fadinger L. 71. Hodge J. 18. Maswanhise T. 11. Lowry A. 13. Kanga J. 17. Charles-Cook R.
27. Muller M. (G) 28. Cadden Ch. 23. Mayo L. 5. Knoester M. 21. Molloy G. 24. Guinness-Walker N. 25. Ronan C. 32. Aremu A. 40. Marshall F. 20. Olusanya T. 15. Nisbet K. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bjorgolfsson E. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 63. Levitt D. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 2. O'Donnell S. 47. Palmer-Houlden S. 19. Said I. 77. Vogt W. 20. Williams D.
17. Armstrong S. 10. Briedl A. 26. Happe D. 30. Klein D. (G) 22. Milne J. 9. Mouloua A. 31. Ntelo M. 11. Smith L. 7. Yogane T.
Coaches
Johansson A.
Robinson S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Mayo L. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Molloy G. ⚽,
40', Sparrow T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Mayo L. ↓, Milne J. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Ronan C. ⚽, Nisbet K. (A),
53', Maswanhise T. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
53', Kanga J. ↓, Said I. ↑,
53', Longelo E. 🟨,
63', Aremu A. 🟨,
64', Aremu A. ↓, Briedl A. ↑,
68', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Vogt W. ↑,
68', Hodge J. ↓, Levitt D. ↑,
72', Marshall F. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
72', Olusanya T. ↓, Mouloua A. ↑,
75', Lowry A. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Mouloua A. ⚽, Ronan C. (A),
76', Mouloua A. 🟨,
78', Knoester M. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Nisbet K. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 3.
Motherwell has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aberdeen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Aberdeen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Motherwell will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now
Aberdeen: 0.47% Motherwell: 0.47%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Aberdeen
7
2
2
3
7:8
-1
8
9
Motherwell
7
2
2
3
9:11
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Aberdeen - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Paulsen A. (G) 
Sparrow T. (C) 
Girdwood-Reich J. 
Moormann M. 
Longelo E. 
Hodge J. 
Maswanhise T. 
Lowry A. 
Kanga J. 
Charles-Cook R. 
Muller M. (G) 
Knoester M. 
Aremu A. 
Bjorgolfsson E. 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Vogt W. 
Mouloua A. 
Ntelo M. 
Robinson S. 
