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Current Win Probability
Motherwell 52%
Draw 25.4%
Falkirk 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
25.1%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
24.6%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
7.7%
0%
Motherwell - Falkirk Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paulsen A. (G) 7. Sparrow T. (C) 4. Knight-Lebel J. 5. Moormann M. 45. Longelo E. 12. Priestman O. 8. Fadinger L. 77. Vogt W. 27. Booth M. 19. Said I. 18. Maswanhise T.
19. Bain S. (G) 22. Strain R. 15. Neilson L. 5. Henderson L. (C) 3. McCann L. 16. Barbrook F. 28. Krauhaus B. 47. Doherty A. 14. Yeats F. 23. Ross E. 7. Parkinson B.
Substitutes
17. Charles-Cook R. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 22. Koutroumbis J. 11. Lowry A. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 31. McConnell J. (G) 24. Ross L. 25. Whyte O. 23. Wilson E.
20. Allan C. 6. Donaldson C. 18. Gardner J. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 9. MacIver R. 11. McGovern P. 4. McMillan J. 21. Melniks D. 10. Sibbald C.
Coaches
Johansson A.
McGlynn J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Yeats F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Booth M. ↓, Lowry A. ↑,
46', Yeats F. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
51', Moormann M. 🟨,
64', Sparrow T. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
65', Moormann M. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
65', Krauhaus B. 🟨,
68', Parkinson B. ↓, MacIver R. ↑,
68', Doherty A. ↓, McGovern P. ↑,
75', Fadinger L. 🟨,
76', Longelo E. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
76', Vogt W. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
90+1', Krauhaus B. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
Preview
Motherwell is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Falkirk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Motherwell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Falkirk has had a series of home games.
In this match, Motherwell is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Knee Injury)
McGhee J.
(Hamstring Injury)
McGinn P.
(Knee Injury)
O'Donnell S.
(Knee Injury)
Stamatelopoulos A.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Falkirk: Adams K.
(Inactive)
Nesbitt A.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Motherwell: Bjorgolfsson E.
(Health problems)
There are questionable in Falkirk: Lang T.
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).