Match Info

Premiership - Round 26

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+
World	Onefootball


	Hearts		Hibernian

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.72	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.8	3.68	5.01
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.75	3.8	4.82	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)	4.74 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
54%

Draw
26%

Hibernian
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	7.1%	35.7%

Hearts - Hibernian Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Hibernian will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Hibernian (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Hibernian (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Hibernian (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 25%). Hibernian (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schwolow A. (G) 31. McEntee O. 2. Kent F. (C) 19. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. 99. Chesnokov I. 49. Leonard M. 6. Baningime B. 89. Kyziridis A. 10. Braga C. 11. Kabore P.	1. Sallinger R. (G) 42. Garananga M. 33. Bushiri R. 15. Iredale J. 25. Passlack F. 14. Chaiwa M. 22. Barlaser D. 19. Cadden N. 10. Boyle M. (C) 44. Scarlett D. 28. Andrews K.
Substitutes
40. Ageu 23. Altena J. 1. Gordon C. (G) 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 74. Mato R. 5. McCart J. 16. Spittal B. 15. Steinwender M.	32. Campbell J. 47. Elding O. 17. McGrath J. 27. Megwa K. 35. Molotnikov R. 5. O'Hora W. 13. Smith J. (G) 77. Suto A. 7. Youan T.
Coaches
McInnes D.	Gray D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
40', Scarlett D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Chaiwa M. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,
60', Scarlett D. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
73', Boyle M. ↓, Youan T. ↑,
76', Baningime B. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
76', Chesnokov I. ↓, Altena J. ↑,
78', Garananga M. 🟨,
79', Garananga M. ↓, O'Hora W. ↑,
87', Kyziridis A. ↓, Mato R. ↑,
87', Kabore P. ↓, Ageu ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Magnusson T. ⚽, Milne H. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Hearts is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hearts: Borchgrevink C. (Hamstring Injury) Devlin C. (Ankle Injury) Halkett C. (Red Card) Kingsley S. (Groin Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury) Pollock F. (Hamstring Injury) Shankland L. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Hibernian: Hanley G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Chesnokov I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hearts: 4.66% Hibernian: 0.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16
10	Hibernian	8	2	1	5	8:12	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Hearts - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.79%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
03.02.26	St. Mirren - Hearts	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Dundee United - Hearts	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Hearts - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Hearts - Falkirk	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLW
- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
04.02.26	Hibernian - Dundee United	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Hibernian - Glasgow Rangers	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Falkirk - Hibernian	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
10.01.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
27.12.25	Hibernian - Hearts	3:2
04.10.25	Hearts - Hibernian	1:0
02.03.25	Hibernian - Hearts	2:1
26.12.24	Hearts - Hibernian	1:2
27.10.24	Hibernian - Hearts	1:1
28.02.24	Hearts - Hibernian	1:1
27.12.23	Hibernian - Hearts	0:1

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