The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motor Lublin 29.6%
Draw 27.6%
Górnik Zabrze 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
28.2%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
28.5%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
37.5%
37.5%
Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 4% – 71%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Górnik Zabrze (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 18. Bereszynski B. 39. Bartos M. 24. Luberecki F. 27. Bourhane Y. 30. Ndiaye M. 8. Kikis 7. Rodrigues I. 70. Aiko M. 10. Czubak K. (C)
1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. (C) 20. Josema 21. Zmrzly O. 82. Urbanski K. 6. Hojholt M. 14. Kubicki J. 19. Peter Federico 9. Antiste J. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
5. Akatov A. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 6. Legowski M. 2. Meyer P. 4. Plavotic T. 71. Popa M. (G) 77. Posmyk M. 9. Rony Lopes 29. Santos T. 47. Tall A.
8. Bernardo P. 4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 27. Inoussa Z. 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 11. Prekop E. 18. Sadilek L. 2. Warczak P.
Coaches
Misiura M.
Gasparik M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
34', Rodrigues I. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
35', Misiura M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Janicki R. 🟨,
53', Antiste J. 🟨,
63', Antiste J. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
71', Urbanski K. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
72', Ndiaye M. ↓, Rony Lopes ↑,
72', Aiko M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
82', Khlan M. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
83', Peter Federico ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
90+2', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨,
90+3', Bartos M. 🟨,
90+8', Lukoszek K. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1st in the Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
Recent results have been tough for Motor (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Górnik Zabrze is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Motor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Górnik Zabrze is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Motor has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.5:0 per game).
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Tratnik G. (G) 
Lukoszek K. 
Bartos M. 
Bourhane Y. 
Ndiaye M. 
Rodrigues I. 
Aiko M. 
Schulze P. (G) 
Sacek M. 
Josema 
Hojholt M. 
Peter Federico 
Antiste J. 
Khlan M. 
Akatov A. 
Haxha F. 
Plavotic T. 
Popa M. (G) 
Ikia Dimi Y. 
Inoussa Z. 
Liseth S. 
