The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Radomiak Radom 34.7%
Draw 27.9%
Motor Lublin 37.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.8%
29.4%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
29.8%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motor Lublin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Lublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 45% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Motor (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 3. Szczesniak K. 14. Kingue S. 72. Koperski F. 13. Grzesik J. 90. Lumungo R. 10. Alves R. 27. Wolski R. (C) 77. Donis C. 21. Balde E. 11. Goure F.
33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 18. Bereszynski B. 4. Plavotic T. 24. Luberecki F. 27. Bourhane Y. 30. Ndiaye M. 9. Rony Lopes 8. Kikis 70. Aiko M. 10. Czubak K. (C)
Substitutes
28. Baro R. 8. Camara I. 97. Conrado 26. Dieguez A. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 80. Guilherme Luiz 23. Karasek K. 82. Luquinhas 18. Manu 7. Nunnely C. 15. Tapsoba A.
5. Akatov A. 39. Bartos M. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 6. Legowski M. 2. Meyer P. 71. Popa M. (G) 77. Posmyk M. 29. Santos T. 47. Tall A. 22. Zlomanczuk M.
Coaches
Carver J.
Misiura M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Kikis 🟨,
18', Lukoszek K. 🟨,
23', Bereszynski B. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Koperski F. ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
33', Donis C. 🟨,
38', Aiko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Balde E. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Aiko M. (A),
61', Aiko M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
61', Bereszynski B. ↓, Bartos M. ↑,
61', Goure F. ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
62', Wolski R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Czubak K. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Alves R. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
77', Rony Lopes ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Kingue S. ⚽, Camara I. (A),
83', Lumungo R. ↓, Manu ↑,
84', Luquinhas 🟨,
86', Bartos M. 🟨,
87', Bourhane Y. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Kikis ⚽,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th and 16th in the Relegation - Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 0.
Radomiak has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Motor has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Motor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Motor has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Radomiak: Conrado
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Radomiak has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:14 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Radomiak against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:11 goals (averaging 2.2:1.8 per game).
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Majchrowicz F. (G) 
Kingue S. 
Lumungo R. 
Alves R. 
Donis C. 
Balde E. 
Goure F. 
Tratnik G. (G) 
Plavotic T. 
Bourhane Y. 
Ndiaye M. 
Rony Lopes 
Aiko M. 
Camara I. 
Conrado 
Dieguez A. 
Manu 
Nunnely C. 
Tapsoba A. 
Akatov A. 
Bartos M. 
Haxha F. 
Popa M. (G) 
Santos T. 
Carver J. 
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