Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Motor Lublin		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	2.8	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.98	3.29	2.47
	2.75	3.3	2.25
	2.83	3.35	2.34
	2.8	3.2	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.61)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	2.35 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
32.8%

Draw
27.9%

Miedź Legnica
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Motor Lublin - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 15. Staszak J. 24. Luberecki F. 18. Najemski A. 4. Szarek P. 55. Gasior M. 99. Spiewak K. 20. Sedzikowski D. 26. Krol M. 19. Welniak K. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)	39. Madrzyk J. (G) 17. Kostka M. 25. Mijuskovic N. (C) 87. Hoogenhout R. 23. Carolina J. 69. Michalik D. 20. Tront D. 59. Lehaire M. 98. Antonik K. 14. Drygas K. 95. Mansfeld M.
Substitutes
11. Kaminski D. 10. Krol R. 73. Lis J. 47. Palacz K. 1. Rosa K. (G) 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 17. Wojcik F. 9. Zebrakowski M.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 18. Agbor E. 10. Drzazga K. 19. Guzdek B. 6. Niewulis A. 7. Pierzak P. 9. Stanclik D. 24. Zalewski S.
Coaches
Feio G.	Bella R.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Miedź have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
29.09.23	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Motor Lublin - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków	1:4 ✺
17.09.23	GKS Tychy - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Motor Lublin - Stal Rzeszów	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
30.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLT

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