Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Motril

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.6
	1.66	3.45	4.8
	1.66	3.55	4.9
	1.63	3.4	5.23
	1.66	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	4.87 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
54.9%

Draw
26.4%

Motril
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Jaén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-2%)

Real Jaén - Motril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, de la Hoz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Merenciano C. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Awusi W. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaén won 2.

Jaén in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Motril is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Motril could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jaén is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Jaén to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jaén won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.03.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Real Jaén - El Ejido	5:1 ✺
23.02.25	Huétor Vega - Real Jaén	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	CP Almería - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTWW
- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.03.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Motril	4:3 ✺
23.02.25	Motril - Malaga B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Torreperogil - Motril	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Motril - Málaga Juniors	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Marbellí - Motril	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
03.11.24	Motril - Real Jaén	3:1
25.02.24	Motril - Real Jaén	0:0
15.10.23	Real Jaén - Motril	1:2
08.01.23	Real Jaén - Motril	1:0
11.09.22	Motril - Real Jaén	0:1
26.01.22	Motril - Real Jaén	2:0
19.09.21	Real Jaén - Motril	Motril awarded

Upcoming Matches