Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 24

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Honneur Stadium (Oujda)


	Mouloudia Club dOujda		Chabab Mohammedia

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.05	4.45
	1.78	3.04	4.53
	1.82	3.09	4.53	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.4
	1.83	2.96	4.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.09)	2.99 ↑ (2.85)	4.5 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouloudia Club dOujda
49.8%

Draw
30.2%

Chabab Mohammedia
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

32.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouloudia Club dOujda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mouloudia Club dOujda's performance.

Chabab Mohammedia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouloudia Club dOujda than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mouloudia Club dOujda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chabab Mohammedia than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chabab Mohammedia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mouloudia Club dOujda - Chabab Mohammedia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mouloudia dOujda won 1.

Mouloudia dOujda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chabab Mohammedia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mouloudia dOujda could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mouloudia dOujda won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mouloudia dOujda won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Mouloudia Oujda	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
15	Chabab Mohammedia	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mouloudia Club dOujda
Moroccan Botola 2
02.05.26	Chabab Atlas Khénifra - Mouloudia Club dOujda	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Mouloudia Club dOujda - Widad Témara	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Mouloudia Club dOujda	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chabab Massira - Mouloudia Club dOujda	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mouloudia Club dOujda - Moghreb Tétouan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL
- Chabab Mohammedia
Moroccan Botola 2
02.05.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Chabab Massira	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Boujaad - Chabab Mohammedia	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Racing de Casablanca - Chabab Mohammedia	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Widad Fez	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola 2
23.11.25	Chabab Mohammedia - Mouloudia Club dOujda	2:4
Moroccan Botola
20.04.24	Mouloudia Club dOujda - Chabab Mohammedia	0:0
10.12.23	Chabab Mohammedia - Mouloudia Club dOujda	1:0
21.02.23	Mouloudia Club dOujda - Chabab Mohammedia	0:0
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
09.02.23	Chabab Mohammedia - Mouloudia Club dOujda	1:0
Moroccan Botola
08.09.22	Chabab Mohammedia - Mouloudia Club dOujda	1:0
03.07.22	Chabab Mohammedia - Mouloudia Club dOujda	0:3

Mouloudia Club dOujda - Chabab Mohammedia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide